Erdős problem #849 — live audit, literature audit, and an exact triangular-slice computation
Date of audit and computation: 2026-07-27 (UTC).
Claim labels used below:
- (a) elementary-rigorous: proved here from elementary identities and inequalities;
- (b) rigorous-modulo-named-theorem: the only non-elementary dependency is named
and linked;
- (c) plausible/structural-unverified: heuristic or bibliographic inference, not used
as a theorem;
- (d) computational-only: a finite exact computation, with the complete search space
and verifier specified.
0. Mandatory live-page audit before doing mathematics
I fetched the live page through the configured
Bright Data browser on 2026-07-27, then separately fetched its
LaTeX-source view. Direct datacenter HTTP was
not used as authority.
The page's verbatim current statement is:
> Is it true that, for every integer \(t\geq 1\), there is some integer \(a\) such that
> \[ > \binom{n}{k}=a > \]
> (with \(1\leq k\leq n/2\)) has exactly \(t\) solutions?
The live state was OPEN. The full marker audit was:
- 0 comments;
- 0 claimed proofs;
- “Interested in collaborating”: None;
- “Currently working on this problem”: None;
- “Likes this problem”, “looks difficult”, and “looks tractable”: all None;
- “Formalised statement?”: Yes;
- both formalisation-interest markers: None;
- related OEIS sequences A003016, A003015, A059233, A098565, A090162, A180058,
and A182237.
Thus none of the mandated stop conditions applied.
The mathematical notes on the live page say, in substance and with the displayed
formulae transcribed exactly:
- Erdős credits the question to himself and Gordon “many years ago”; it is usually
called Singmaster's conjecture.
- \(a=120\) works for \(t=3\), \(a=3003\) works for \(t=4\), and no example is known
for \(t\geq5\).
- Erdős and Singmaster believed the answer to the “for every \(t\)” question is no,
and believed that an absolute upper bound exists.
- Matomäki, Radziwiłł, Shao, Tao, and Teräväinen prove at most two solutions in the
half-triangle when
\[ k\geq \exp((\log n)^{2/3+\epsilon}), \]
for \(a\) sufficiently large depending on \(\epsilon>0\).
The page cites:
- P. Erdős, Some problems I presented or planned to present in my short talk,
Analytic Number Theory, Vol. 1 (1996), 333–335,
DOI 10.1007/978-1-4612-4086-0_18;
- K. Matomäki, M. Radziwiłł, X. Shao, T. Tao, J. Teräväinen,
Singmaster's conjecture in the interior of Pascal's triangle,
Q. J. Math. 73 (2022), 1137–1177,
1. Convention and the easy exact cases
Write
\[ H(a)=\#\{(n,k):1\leq k\leq n/2,\ \binom nk=a\}. \]This is the live page's half-triangle convention, not the usual convention that
counts both symmetric entries.
For every \(a\geq2\), \((a,1)\) is one solution. For fixed \(k\), the map
\(n\mapsto\binom nk\) is strictly increasing for \(n\geq k\). Hence different
solutions for a fixed \(a\) have different lower indices \(k\). Both statements
are (a).
The verifier independently enumerates all rows \(n\leq a\), stopping within a row
as soon as its increasing coefficients exceed \(a\). This is complete because
\(\binom nk\geq n\) for \(1\leq k\leq n/2\). It obtains **(d), with completeness
justified by (a)**:
| \(a\) | all half-triangle representations | \(H(a)\) |
|---:|---|---:|
| 2 | \((2,1)\) | 1 |
| 10 | \((5,2),(10,1)\) | 2 |
| 120 | \((10,3),(16,2),(120,1)\) | 3 |
| 3003 | \((14,6),(15,5),(78,2),(3003,1)\) | 4 |
Thus the live examples are exact, not merely lower bounds.
2. Primary-source literature audit
The following are the strongest directly relevant results I located.
1. Singmaster's original two-page note formulates bounded multiplicity and proves
\(O(\log a)\):
D. Singmaster, How often does an integer occur as a binomial coefficient?,
Amer. Math. Monthly 78 (1971), 385–386,
DOI 10.1080/00029890.1971.11992769.
2. Abbott–Erdős–Hanson prove average and normal order 2 in the full-triangle
convention and improve the worst-case bound to
\(O(\log a/\log\log a)\):
H. L. Abbott, P. Erdős, D. Hanson,
On the number of times an integer occurs as a binomial coefficient,
Amer. Math. Monthly 81 (1974), 256–261.
3. Kane's current best unconditional total bound is
\[ O\!\left(\frac{\log a\,\log\log\log a}{(\log\log a)^3}\right). \]
This is Theorem 1 of D. M. Kane,
Improved bounds on the number of ways of expressing \(t\) as a binomial coefficient,
INTEGERS 7 (2007), A53. This remains the best total bound according to the
2022 paper. (b)
4. Matomäki–Radziwiłł–Shao–Tao–Teräväinen prove Theorem 1.3: for fixed
\(0<\epsilon<1\) and sufficiently large \(a\), at most two half-triangle
representations lie in
\[ \exp((\log n)^{2/3+\epsilon})\leq k\leq n/2. \]
Their Remark 1.5 reduces the unbounded part to small \(k\), while Remark 1.7
warns that their effective constants are far too large for numerical
verification. Their Remark 1.5 also records that fixed pairs of lower indices
have only finitely many collisions via Siegel's theorem, but the resulting
growing cutoff is ineffective. (b)
5. A. Blokhuis, A. E. Brouwer, B. M. M. de Weger,
Binomial collisions and near collisions,
INTEGERS 17 (2017), A64, is the key finite-computation source. Its Theorem 1
states that all collisions are classified for
\[ (k,\ell)=(2,3),(2,4),(2,5),(2,6),(2,8),(3,4),(3,6),(4,6),(4,8), \]
and that no unknown collision exists with the larger row \(n\leq10^6\) or
collision value at most \(10^{60}\). The paper describes the exact modular
sieve used for the \(10^{60}\) computation and reports about 375 old-CPU hours.
(b)
I searched exact titles and combinations of “Singmaster”, “binomial collision”,
and “multiplicity” across arXiv and journal results, including 2023–2026 dates. I
found no peer-reviewed or arXiv primary source after the 2022 interior paper that
improves the total multiplicity bound or supplies a fifth half-triangle
representation. This is an honest search result, not a proof of absence. (c)
One 2026 ResearchGate/ISBN upload by R. Simonetto,
[*Conjecture de Singmaster … preuve de l'inexistence d'occurrences impaires
supérieures à 3*](https://www.researchgate.net/publication/400572247_Conjecture_de_Singmaster_sur_les_multiplicites_binomiales_dans_le_triangle_de_Pascal_et_preuve_de_l%27inexistence_d%27occurrences_impaires_superieures_a_3),
did appear in the search. It is not listed as a claimed proof on the live page.
Its displayed argument asserts that a central binomial coefficient has no
nontrivial collision and replaces \(\binom{2c}{c}\) by its Stirling asymptotic
\(4^c/\sqrt{\pi c}\) before a Lambert-\(W\) calculation. An asymptotic equality
cannot establish nonexistence of exact integral solutions; moreover, excluding
such central collisions is itself the missing Diophantine step. I therefore did
not use this upload as a theorem. Its claim concerns odd full-triangle
multiplicity and would not by itself settle the live page's \(t=5\) question
anyway.
3. New finite result: the entire \(k=2\) slice through row \(10^{32}\)
Theorem
Let \(4\leq n\leq10^{32}\) and put \(a=\binom n2\). Then
\[ H(a)= \begin{cases} 4,&n=78,\\ 3,&n\in\{16,21,56,120,153,221\},\\ 2,&\text{otherwise}. \end{cases} \]The complete exceptional table is:
| \(n\) | \(a=\binom n2\) | representations other than \((a,1),(n,2)\) | \(H(a)\) |
|---:|---:|---|---:|
| 16 | 120 | \((10,3)\) | 3 |
| 21 | 210 | \((10,4)\) | 3 |
| 56 | 1540 | \((22,3)\) | 3 |
| 78 | 3003 | \((15,5),(14,6)\) | 4 |
| 120 | 7140 | \((36,3)\) | 3 |
| 153 | 11628 | \((19,5)\) | 3 |
| 221 | 24310 | \((17,8)\) | 3 |
This theorem is (b) overall: it combines the globally solved fixed pairs
\(\ell=3,4,5,6,8\) from Blokhuis–Brouwer–de Weger Theorem 1 with the new finite
exact computation for \(\ell=7\) and \(9\leq\ell\leq107\), which is (d).
Every displayed equality is independently recomputed with math.comb.
The largest value covered is
\[ \binom{10^{32}}2 =4999999999999999999999999999999950000000000000000000000000000000 <5\cdot10^{63}. \]Thus, within the triangular \(k=2\) slice, this finite check goes about a factor
5000 beyond the \(10^{60}\) all-indices value threshold reported in the 2017
paper. This is deliberately not advertised as an all-indices extension.
Why the finite search is complete
Let
\[ A=\binom{10^{32}}2. \]Suppose \(\binom n2=\binom m\ell\), with \(n\leq10^{32}\),
\(2<\ell\leq m/2\).
1. Finite lower-index range (a). For fixed \(\ell\),
\(\binom m\ell\) increases with \(m\), and its minimum in the half-triangle is
\(\binom{2\ell}{\ell}\). Exact integer comparison gives
\[ \binom{214}{107}\leq A<\binom{216}{108}. \]
Therefore only \(3\leq\ell\leq107\) can occur.
2. Exact row endpoint (a). For every untreated \(\ell\), binary search using
exact math.comb finds the unique \(m_{\max}\) satisfying
\[ \binom{m_{\max}}\ell\leq A< \binom{m_{\max}+1}\ell. \]
Every integer \(2\ell\leq m\leq m_{\max}\) is represented in the candidate
count below.
3. No-loss modular sieve (a). If \(B=\binom n2\), then
\[ 1+8B=(2n-1)^2. \tag{1} \]
For a prime \(p>\ell\), \(\ell!\) is invertible modulo \(p\), so
\(m\mapsto\binom m\ell\pmod p\) is a polynomial function depending only on
\(m\bmod p\). If
\(1+8\binom m\ell\) is a quadratic nonresidue modulo even one such \(p\),
(1) is impossible. Discarding that residue class therefore has no false
negatives.
4. Exact survivor decision (a). For every survivor the program computes
\(B=\binom m\ell\), \(D=1+8B\), and \(s=\lfloor\sqrt D\rfloor\) with arbitrary
precision. It accepts only if \(s^2=D\), \(s\) is odd, and the resulting
\(n=(1+s)/2\) obeys both \(n\leq10^{32}\) and
\(\binom n2=B\).
These four points show that the computational conclusion is exact, not
probabilistic. NumPy is used only to apply periodic Boolean masks; it never
evaluates a binomial coefficient or decides equality.
Reproducible run
Standalone verifier:
Run:
python3 -u runs/erdos849_wave7p_verify.py
Environment: Python 3.12.3, NumPy 2.4.4, Linux x86-64, Intel Xeon Platinum
8259CL. One core was used. Two clean full passes took 93.753 and 90.381 seconds
and produced the identical certificate hash below.
The verifier first performs a logically separate audit:
- exact bounded enumeration of the four small witnesses \(2,10,120,3003\);
- exact arithmetic checks of all eight imported \((2,\ell)\) collision tuples;
- exhaustive tests of binomial-polynomial periodicity for representative filter
slices;
- filtered-versus-unsieved comparisons on ranges containing the small known
collisions and on untreated \(\ell=7,9\) ranges.
The full-run certificate was:
n_bound=100000000000000000000000000000000
max C(n,2)=4999999999999999999999999999999950000000000000000000000000000000
ell_max=107
searched_slices=100
total_candidates=4319058300
total_survivors=78419
unknown_hits=[]
certificate_sha256=58d9ab56135fdb811fcbdfa70385314c80ad5370dfda7b01486758831a5e7e19
VERIFIED
The dominant slices were:
| \(\ell\) | \(m_{\max}\) | candidates | exact survivors | hits |
|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| 7 | 4,253,745,533 | 4,253,745,520 | 71,414 | 0 |
| 9 | 49,592,364 | 49,592,347 | 5,090 | 0 |
| 10 | 10,613,863 | 10,613,844 | 1,183 | 0 |
| 11 | 3,032,706 | 3,032,685 | 168 | 0 |
| 12 | 1,075,501 | 1,075,478 | 104 | 0 |
| 13–107 | — | 998,426 in aggregate | 460 in aggregate | 0 |
The aggregate row follows by subtraction from the recorded totals; the standalone
script recomputes every individual endpoint and includes all of them in the
certificate hash.
4. What this says about #849, and the exact remaining wall
The finite theorem does not produce \(t=5\) and does not settle the uniform
problem. Its direct consequence is:
> (b) If \(H(a)\geq5\) and \(a\) has a representation
> \(a=\binom n2\), then \(n>10^{32}\).
Equivalently, a \(t\geq5\) example below that triangular-row frontier must avoid
the entire \(k=2\) slice. This is a genuine but narrow exclusion.
The exact global obstruction is uniformity in the lower indices. A value with
\(H(a)\geq5\) needs at least four interior representations and hence a network
of binomial collisions among four distinct lower indices. For every fixed
pair \((k,\ell)\), Siegel-type arguments give finiteness, but they provide no
effective cutoff uniform as \(k,\ell\) grow. Matomäki et al. bound the number of
representations in the interior, but deliberately leave
\[ 2\leq k\leq \exp((\log n)^{2/3+\epsilon}) \]as the edge region. The missing lemma would be an effective, uniform collision
theorem in that growing edge region—de Weger's conjectural classification of
all binomial collisions would be more than sufficient. No such lemma is
currently available in the cited sources.
Blindly enlarging this computation does not address that wall. In the triangular
slice the untreated \(\ell=7\) range dominates and grows as \(N^{2/7}\) when the
row bound is \(N\). Scaling from \(10^{32}\) to \(10^{40}\) would multiply this
run by about \(10^{16/7}\approx193\), or roughly 5 single-core hours on this VM
(about \$0.25–\$0.50 at a realistic \$0.05–\$0.10/core-hour). That would still
say nothing about candidates with no \(k=2\) representation. A useful next
computation would instead need a similarly exact, aggressively sieved joint
classification for the \(k=3\) and \(k=4\) slices beyond \(10^{60}\); the
dominant \((3,5)\) and \((4,5)\) families are substantially larger.
PARTIAL: Exact modulo the published fixed-pair theorem, every \(\binom n2\) with \(4\leq n\leq10^{32}\) has half-triangle multiplicity at most 4 (only \(n=78\) attains 4); a 4.319-billion-candidate exact sieve found no new \((2,\ell)\) collision, but the uniform small-\(k\) edge region remains open.